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2024-12-13 18:21:18

The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.Like the support, I wish everyone a victory!


Second, in the early stage of the meeting, in addition to the financial advantage, there is a more important political task, which is to maintain stability during the meeting and avoid large fluctuations in the market. The purpose of maintaining stability here is not only to prevent the short-term sharp decline of the market, but also to prevent the sharp rise. If it is a sharp drop, it will increase the buying power to pull up the index. If it is a sharp rise, it will throw out the chips for the pressure plate last Friday.What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.These days, Junge's review articles mainly focus on the market, and rarely mention the changes in the pattern of various parts of the market. This is because the recent hot spots in the main market are very clear, namely artificial intelligence and robots. In addition to these two main lines, there are several small hot spots that are difficult to become main lines around, that is, cultivating diamond and millet economy.


Friends who have been paying attention to Junge know that Junge mentioned in his article last Friday that the key force driving the market to break through that day was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, which was the exclusive market entry channel for the national team. It can be seen that the national team entered the stadium ahead of schedule on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party.Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.Of course, today's trading data has not yet been released, and Jun Ge only guessed the organization's position adjustment behavior based on experience. Whether this is the case or not, the answer will be clear after the data of the dragon and tiger list of the exchange comes out.

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